India: Castor seed prices down month on month, but markets likely to recover soon

Published 2022년 7월 1일

Tridge summary

The article explains the significant increase in castor seed prices in the Indian market from February 2021 to May 2022, a rise of approximately 75%, due to increased local demand, a surge in oilseed prices, and low carry forward inventory levels. However, since June 2022, prices have seen a decline, dropping by nearly Rs 300 per quintal. India's castor seed production is projected to decrease to approximately 1.51 million metric tons for the 2021-2022 season, down from the previous year's average of 1.65 million tonnes. The monsoon season's rainfall pattern and Minimum Support Prices for Kharif oilseeds will influence farmers' planting decisions for castor in August. With stable demand and tight supply, it is expected that castor seed prices will reach around Rs 7700-7800 per quintal in the coming months.
Disclaimer:The above summary was generated by Tridge's proprietary AI model for informational purposes.

Original content

Castor seed had shown an impressive upside rally between February of 2021 and May 2022. In these months the prices had increased by nearly 75 per cent. However, the prices have reversed from the upward trend from June 2022 onwards, and when compared with the May 2022 end prices, castor seed is down nearly Rs 300 per quintal currently. The impressive upside growth between February 2021 and May 2022 was because the markets were supported by improving local demand followed by the sharp upside in oilseed prices; in addition to drop in the carry forward inventory levels. However, due to the lower crop size in 2021, the inventory is running tight currently. For the year 2021-22, India is estimated to produce approximately 1.51 million metric tons of castor seeds. This will be a decline in the production number when compared with the 2020-21 average which stood near 1.65 million tonnes. Castor seed harvesting in India is over. And as the monsoon season have started, the amount of ...

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