Coffee Market Report

Published Apr 10, 2026

Original content

The U.S. Government’s National Weather Service Climate Prediction Centre CPC reports that ENSO-neutral conditions are present and favoured through to the middle of this year. ENSO-neutral conditions exist when neither El Niño nor La Niña is present typically bringing more stable and predictable weather. These neutral conditions suggest a reduction in climate anomalies and may contribute to more consistent seasonal forecasts globally. For coffee growing regions, particularly in countries like Brazil, Colombia and Vietnam, ENSO-neutral conditions may help stabilise rainfall patterns and temperatures, which could support more consistent crop development and reduce the risk of weather-related crop disruptions. Weather conditions will be closely monitored as the southern hemisphere transitions into the traditional cooler winter months ahead. Looking further ahead and while there is worldwide consensus that the recovery in Vietnam in 2025/26 from the prior years of lower, weather ...

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