Despite the decrease in demand, palm oil quotes continue to rise in line with oil prices

Published Oct 7, 2024

Tridge summary

Oil prices have risen due to the anticipation of Israel's response to an Iranian missile attack, which has also supported palm oil prices despite forecasts of reduced demand. December Brent oil futures saw a significant increase, influencing palm oil futures on Bursa Malaysia to rise, even as India's palm oil imports dropped due to higher prices and increased import duties. This situation could lead to higher palm oil stocks in Malaysia and Indonesia, with India's efforts to boost domestic edible oil production potentially adding further pressure on prices. Meanwhile, soybean futures experienced fluctuations due to profit-taking and improved harvest prospects in Brazil and the USA, with hopes that reduced demand from India might be balanced by increased demand from China.
Disclaimer:The above summary was generated by Tridge's proprietary AI model for informational purposes.

Original content

Anticipation of Israel's response to a missile attack by Iran led to a speculative rise in oil prices, which supported palm oil quotes, despite forecasts of a reduction in demand in the near term. December Brent oil futures on Thursday and Friday rose by 5.4% to $78/barrel (+9.1% for the week and for the month). Following them, December palm oil futures on Bursa Malaysia rose another 2.8% to 4,300 ringgit/t or $1,020/t (+6.1% on the week) on Friday, ignoring data on sharp a reduction in imports by India in September and an increase in palm oil stocks in Malaysia. According to analysts, during September, palm oil stocks in Malaysia will grow by 3.2% to the highest level since January 2023 of 1.94 million tons, as exports will decrease by 2% to 1.5 million tons, and production - by 1.1 % to 1.87 million tons. India in September cut palm oil imports by 34% from August to a six-month low of 530,000 tons as it became more expensive than competing oils. At the same time, the authorities ...
Source: Graintrade

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