Experts have reduced estimates of exports and production of Russian sunflower oil

Published 2024년 2월 19일

Tridge summary

The Price Index Center's latest quarterly consensus forecast reveals a growing optimism among analysts about the agricultural market. Upward revisions have been made to the estimates for the current harvest of grain, wheat, and oilseeds, as well as for wheat exports, which have been increased from 50.4 to 52.9 million tons. Despite a rise in the gross harvest of sunflower, the forecast for oil production has been lowered from 7 to 6.8 million tons, and exports from 4.6 to 4.3 million tons. Sunflower oil was sold for export in February at $755/t, which is significantly cheaper than soybean and palm oil.
Disclaimer:The above summary was generated by Tridge's proprietary AI model for informational purposes.

Original content

​​The Price Index Center has updated the second quarterly consensus forecast of professional analysts on the agricultural market and is in a hurry to share its results. In terms of key indicators, analysts’ opinions have become more optimistic since November 2023: estimates of the current harvest of grain, wheat, and oilseeds have been increased. Expectations for wheat exports in the current agricultural season have been significantly revised upward: from 50.4 to 52.9 million tons. But surprisingly, a consensus has emerged on the production and export of sunflower oil. Against the backdrop of an actual increase in the gross harvest of sunflower, analysts have revised the parameters of oil production in the current agricultural year from 7 to 6.8 million tons, and exports from 4.6 to 4.3 million tons. Range of opinions on the volume of exports of the second most important product of Russian agricultural exports , although we are already at the equator of the season, indicates the ...
Source: Oilworld

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