The article highlights the anticipated sunflower oil supply shortage in the first half of 2021, primarily due to disappointing yields from the Black Sea region, including Russia, Ukraine, Romania, Bulgaria, and Moldova. These countries experienced adverse growing conditions during the 2020/2021 marketing year, leading to lower than expected yields and oil content in the seeds. The situation is further worsened by Russia's decision to increase the export duty on sunflower seeds to 30% from January 9 to June 30. Despite these challenges, demand for sunflower oil is expected to rebound as the global economy recovers from the COVID-19 pandemic, with Turkey planning to increase imports to mitigate the effects of Russian export duties.