Market outlook diverges on grains, proteins as Indonesia launches free meals program

Published Jan 10, 2025

Tridge summary

Indonesia's free meals program, which provides meals to over half a million recipients, aims to tackle childhood malnutrition and reduce poverty, but concerns have been raised about the potential impact on agricultural commodities. The program could increase demand for agricultural commodities like grains and rice, leading to higher local prices. Despite efforts to achieve self-sufficiency in these commodities by 2027, challenges such as limited access to farming technology improvements and inefficient operations could hinder production. The program is also expected to drive demand for poultry and milk, which Indonesia currently imports heavily. The government is taking steps to boost domestic production of dairy and beef, such as importing dairy heifers and partnering with Vietnam to address challenges faced by cattle farm smallholders.
Disclaimer:The above summary was generated by Tridge's proprietary AI model for informational purposes.

Original content

Indonesia’s free meals program officially began on Jan. 6, with over half a million recipients, yet market participants hold mixed outlooks on agricultural commodities to be affected by the multi-billion dollar rollout. The free meals program, part of Indonesian President Prabowo Subianto’s 2024 election manifesto, aims to provide nutritious meals to schoolchildren and pregnant women. The ambitious goal is to feed 82.9 million people — nearly 30% of Indonesia’s expected population — by 2029. Officials involved in the program have highlighted its benefits, from tackling childhood malnutrition to reducing poverty. The program hopes to involve local farmers in its supply chain and generate new jobs as the government seeks to staff thousands of public kitchens to feed beneficiaries. However, local market participants have noted that increased consumption demand from the free meals program could put several sectors in a sticky situation, primarily by pushing local prices of ...

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