Rapeseed futures in Paris after speculative growth fell by 5% at once

Published 2024년 12월 19일

Tridge summary

February futures for rapeseed in Paris fell by 5% on Monday due to a speculative rise that was not based on fundamentals. This decline was influenced by drops in soybeans, soybean oil in Chicago, and palm oil in Malaysia. The European Commission anticipates a 3% increase in EU countries' rapeseed imports to 2.7 mln tonnes in 2024/25, primarily from Ukraine. However, the Canadian dollar's 3% decline against the U.S. dollar has increased the price gap between Canadian canola and European rapeseed, leading to lower purchase prices for rapeseed in Ukraine.
Disclaimer:The above summary was generated by Tridge's proprietary AI model for informational purposes.

Original content

As we predicted, the speculative rise in rapeseed prices in Paris was very rapid and not based on fundamentals, so February futures fell by 5% on Monday. The 8% drop in soybeans and soybean oil in Chicago and palm oil in Malaysia since the beginning of the week also put pressure on the rapeseed and rapeseed oil market. On the stock exchange in Paris, the February futures for rapeseed yesterday fell by 3.2% to 520,75 €/t or 540,5 $/t (-5% since the beginning of the week, -4.3% for the month), and the may futures on Monday fell by 4.7% to 506,75 €/t (-5.7% for the month). According to the European Commission, in 2024/25 MY (as of December 16), the EU countries increased the imports of rapeseed by 3% to 2.7 mln tonnes compared to the same period of the previous season, of which 1.9 mln tonnes were supplied from Ukraine, 500 thsd tonnes – from Australia and 100 thsd tonnes – from Canada. The main importers were Belgium (918 thousand tons), the Netherlands (706 thousand tons), and ...

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