Mexico's sugar production is predicted to hit a decade low in 2024 due to drought and reduced fertilizer use, leading to the United States becoming Mexico's largest sugar supplier. The U.S. is expected to export 160,000 short tons of sugar to Mexico, the largest amount in six years, comparable to levels during the active period of the North American Free Trade Agreement. Despite Mexico declaring U.S. sugar ineligible for duty-free treatment under IMMEX, U.S. sugar exports to Mexico have increased in the last two years and are expected to rise further in 2024.