This is the first time since 1995 that there is so little durum wheat available in France

Published 2024년 12월 20일

Tridge summary

France is experiencing a significant decrease in durum wheat production and availability for the 2024/25 marketing year, with a projected 7% drop in national production to 1.217 Mt due to declining cultivation areas and adverse weather conditions. This has led to an 18% decrease in the estimated marketed production to 1.154 Mt, and a 17% drop in total durum wheat volume to 1.459 Mt, the lowest since the 1995/96 campaign. The semolina industry's use of French durum wheat is expected to remain stable or slightly increase, but exports are set to decrease by 35%, with the first four months of the marketing year already achieving 40% of the export target.

Disclaimer:The above summary was generated by Tridge's proprietary AI model for informational purposes.

Original content

What is the market assessment for French durum wheat in the 2024/25 marketing year? In its December estimate, FranceAgriMer estimates national production at 1.217 Mt in 2024, a decrease of 7% compared to 2023. The cause: the downward trend in areas cultivated with durum wheat in recent years, and the catastrophic weather throughout the campaign. "The consequences (of the rains) on the volumes of durum wheat collected and the quality are very variable across the territory", explain FranceAgriMer and Arvalis. The collection, i.e. the marketed production, is therefore logically estimated to be down, too: 1.154 Mt, a decrease of 8% compared to 2023. With also a decrease in the initial stock and imports, the volume of durum wheat available for the 2024/25 marketing year falls by 17% compared to the previous year, to 1.459 Mt. This is its lowest level since the 1995/96 campaign (at 1.356 t). Faced with these availabilities, FranceAgriMer currently estimates at 1.316 Mt the volume of ...

Source: TerreNet