2024 harvest in Europe: soft wheat production expected below 30 million tonnes

Published Jul 9, 2024

Tridge summary

The first forecasts by Agreste, made on July 1, predict a soft wheat production of 29.7Mt, marking the second lowest harvest in the last 20 years. The Ministry of Agriculture is slightly more optimistic, projecting an average yield of 64q/ha, which is a 13% decrease from 2023 and an 11% decrease from the ten-year average. Factors such as regular rainfall, weed and disease pressure, and reduced radiation have contributed to the decline in production. Other crops like winter and spring barley, durum wheat, protein crops, and rapeseed are also expected to see a decrease in production compared to the previous year. However, European barley production is projected to increase, particularly in Germany, while EU rapeseed production is expected to decrease, with Spain being the only country experiencing an increase.

Disclaimer: The above summary was generated by Tridge's proprietary AI model for informational purposes.

Original content

Agreste's first forecasts, established on July 1, are in line with the "live" feedback from the threshers which are broadcast on the networks. Thus, soft wheat production would stand at 29.7Mt, symbolically falling below the 30Mt threshold. As forecasts stand, this is the second lowest harvest in the last 20 years, behind 2016 (27.6Mt) and ahead of 2020 (29.1Mt). The Ministry of Agriculture is nevertheless a little more optimistic than Arvalis, whose forecasts show an average yield of 64q/ha, down 13% compared to 2023 and 11% compared to the ten-year average. , under the effect of regular and continuous rains from sowing until harvest, strong pressure from weeds and diseases and a drop in radiation affecting a large part of the territory. “This is one of the most complicated campaigns to manage over such a long period,” estimates the technical institute. Soft wheat: 69.9 q/ha, 4.2 Mha, 29.7 Mt Soft wheat production is estimated at 29.7Mt, down 15.4% compared to the 2023 harvest ...

Source: Pleinchamp