Red lentil supply depends on Canada, Australia

Published 2025년 6월 5일

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The 2025-26 red lentil market hinges on what happens with Australia and Canada, say analysts. If those two countries have average yields, supply and demand will be well balanced, Chuck Penner, an analyst with LeftField Commodity Research, recently told delegates attending the Global Pulse Confederation’s Pulses 25 conference in Singapore. Last year, there was a

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concern that the market would be over-supplied, but drought and frost slashed Australia’s production. Australian farmers are expected to plant the same number of acres as 2024. “If we pencil in an average yield at this point in time, what we would see is that production would bounce back considerably,” said Penner. He is forecasting 1.69 million tonnes of production, up from 1.16 million tonnes in 2024-25. Exports are estimated at 1.5 to 1.6 million tonnes, which would be double the current year. However, he said the caveat is that it is dry in the main production areas in the states of Victoria and South Australia. “That’s a real concern there,” he said. The Australian Bureau of Agricultural and Resource Economics and Sciences is forecasting 1.5 million tonnes of production, which would be 71 per cent above the 10-year average. Simone Dax, a trader with Louis Dreyfus Company, agreed with Penner that it is early days for the Australian crop, and a lot can happen between now and ...

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