The global balance of vegetable oils has practically not changed despite the decrease in the forecast for soybean production

Published Feb 13, 2023

Tridge summary

The global balance of vegetable oils for the 2022/23 marketing year (MR) remained steady, with only a slight reduction in world production forecasts due to decreased soybean production in Argentina. Despite this, other oil sources like rapeseed, sunflower, and palm offset the decline. Palm oil production is expected to reach a record 77.4 million tons, acting as the main price driver. Global import forecasts have also increased, leading to a rise in ending stocks. Oil prices are influenced by demand from China and India, with India importing large quantities of sunflower oil from Ukraine and other countries, which may help stabilize sunflower oil prices.
Disclaimer:The above summary was generated by Tridge's proprietary AI model for informational purposes.

Original content

The world balance on vegetable oils in February for 2022/23 MR, as in January, almost did not change, although analysts expected a more significant decrease in the forecast of world production due to a drop in soybean production in Argentina. Compared with the January report, the global balance of vegetable oils for FY 2022/23 underwent the following changes: The forecast of world production of oils was reduced by 0.04 million tons to 217.58 million tons, which will exceed the 2021/22 FY 2021/22 figure of 208.48 million tons by 4.3%, including the forecast for soybean oil production, which was reduced by only 0.58 to 60.91 million tons (59 million tons in 2021/22MG), which will be compensated by a small increase in the production of rapeseed, sunflower and palm oils. It is worth noting that despite the decrease in sunflower production, it did not lead to a decrease in oil production due to a further decrease in final global residues. The forecast for palm oil production was raised ...
Source: Graintrade

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