May-24 soybean oil futures at the Chicago Stock Exchange (CHX) fell 3.6% week-over-week (WoW) to USD 978 per metric ton (mt) in W16 due to the advancement of soybean harvesting in Argentina and lower soybean prices. This decline also led to a broader downward trend in vegetable oil prices.
Additionally, according to the India Vegetable Oil Producers Association (IVPA), in the first five months of the marketing year (MY) 2023/24, India’s soybean oil imports decreased by 39.6% year-over-year (YoY) to 882.94 thousand mt.
Soybean prices in Ukraine are rising due to delayed deliveries from South America. The delay is caused by heavy rains in Mar-24 and Apr-24, which have affected the harvesting process in major soybean-producing countries such as Brazil and Argentina. As a result, there has been a decrease in the supply of oilseed to the global market, leading to an increase in prices in Ukraine.
According to the Ministry of Agriculture of Ukraine, Ukraine's soybean production in 2024 is expected to reach 5.2 million metric tons (mmt), an increase of 10.64% YoY compared to 4.7 mmt in 2023.