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In W16 in the grape landscape, some of the most relevant trends included:

  • Favorable weather has boosted grape production in Argentina, Brazil, Australia, and Mexico, resulting in high-quality harvests with increased yields, especially in seedless and premium varieties.
  • Egypt, Australia, and Brazil are improving their export strategies as they aim to capture early or underserved market windows, promote premium offerings,  diversify export destinations, and enhance competitiveness.
  • Grape producers in India, Brazil, and Egypt face pricing and logistical challenges, including reduced export demand, shifting consumer preferences, high logistics costs, and tariff barriers, pressuring profitability and requiring strategic adjustments.
  • Brazil and Argentina are investing in technology and expanding vineyard areas to improve supply consistency, safeguard quality, and meet rising global demand while enhancing domestic processing and export readiness.

1. Weekly News

Argentina

La Pampa’s Grape Harvest Surges as It Strengthens Role in Argentina’s Expanding Wine Industry

Argentina’s La Pampa province harvested 1.1 million kilograms (kg) of grapes between Feb-25 and Mar-25, highlighting the steady expansion of its wine industry. Of this figure, 741.4 thousand kg, primarily from the Casa de Piedra and 25 de Mayo regions, were transported to established winemaking hubs such as Mendoza, Neuquén, and Río Negro. The rest was processed locally as La Pampa continues to develop its winemaking capacity. The province now hosts 26 vineyards spread across 322 hectares (ha), with 95% of the grape production dedicated to wine and must. To maintain high quality and ensure safe distribution, Argentina’s National Food Safety and Quality Service (SENASA) enforces strict phytosanitary measures. These include controls for pests like Lobesia botrana and fruit flies, safeguarding grape movements within La Pampa and to other provinces.

Australia

Australian Table Grapes Return to the Philippines with Strong Supply and Premium Varieties

Australia has resumed table grape exports to the Philippines for the 2024/25 season, following a harvest supported by ideal growing conditions that yielded crisp, sweet, and flavorful fruit. With over 8.5 thousand tons exported last season, the Philippines remained Australia’s fourth-largest grape market and continues to be a key destination for Australian grapes.. This season features well-known varieties such as Autumn Crisp and Candy Dreams, along with new seedless selections that offer distinct textures and flavors. To drive consumer engagement, the Australian Table Grape Association (ATGA) is rolling out in-store promotions across major retailers in the Philippines, emphasizing the grapes' quality, origin, and taste. The initiative underscores Australia's commitment to consumer-driven production and reflects the Philippine market’s rising demand for premium table grapes.

Brazil

Brazil’s Seedless Grape Season Sees Strong Growth Despite Challenges

Brazil’s 2025 seedless table grape season is experiencing a 40% year-on-year (YoY) increase in production, driven by favorable weather and reduced rainfall that enhanced supply stability and fruit quality. With an expected yield of 11 million kg, more than 60% of the crop is designated for the domestic market, while exports focus on Europe and the United States (US). However, the industry faces persistent challenges, including high logistics costs, intense competition from Peru and Chile, and a 14% tariff in the European market that hampers price competitiveness. In response, Brazilian producers are investing in advanced technologies, trialing resilient grape varieties, and pursuing market diversification strategies to maintain momentum and meet rising global demand for crisp, flavorful seedless grapes.

Egypt

Egypt Prepares for Challenging Table Grape Season Following Weather Impacts

Egypt’s table grape season is expected to start on May 25 with early varieties, offering growers a key selling window before global market competition intensifies in June and beyond. However, unfavorable weather conditions have posed significant challenges, prompting growers to apply protective treatments like Doramex during bud break to guard against cold temperatures. While intended to mitigate weather-related damage, these treatments have inadvertently contributed to issues such as bunch abortion, a condition where grape clusters fail to fully develop or are shed prematurely, leading to reduced vineyard yields. Red seedless grapes are among the most affected, with early-season shortages anticipated. Despite this, producers plan to maintain a harvest timeline similar to last year, with peak volumes expected between W19 and W25. To strengthen market presence, particularly in the Far East and Africa, Egyptian exporters and industry stakeholders are working to increase mid-season availability, especially of white grape varieties, to address past supply gaps and extend export opportunities.

India’s Grape Prices Drop Sharply Due to Weak Export Demand and Seasonal Competition

In India, especially in Maharashtra, grape prices have dropped sharply toward the end of the season, which spans from December to April. Wholesale rates have declined by USD 0.29 to 0.70/kg (INR 25 to 60/kg), while retail prices now average around USD 1.17/kg (INR 100/kg), depending on quality. This price drop is due to reduced export demand, partly impacted by recent shifts in US trade policy and intensified domestic competition from seasonal fruits like mangoes, which have swayed consumer preferences. India typically exports around 262 thousand metric tons (mt) of grapes each season, with Bangladesh alone accounting for 28% of the total export volume.

Mexico

Mexico’s Grape Season Starts Strong with Rising Volumes and Steady Prices

Mexico's grape production began on time this season in the key regions of Jalisco and Sonora, supported by ideal weather conditions that have contributed to expectations of a consistent, high-quality supply. Growers are reporting increased volumes, particularly in premium white and red varieties, alongside growing demand for specialty Candy grapes such as Cotton Candy. Jalisco is emerging as a competitive alternative to South American imports, offering fresher fruit and logistical advantages. While supply currently outpaces demand slightly, retail promotions are already in motion, with strong consumer interest, especially in white and Candy varieties, helping to stabilize the market. Prices are expected to hold steady, bolstered by targeted promotional campaigns planned for June and July.

2. Weekly Pricing

Weekly Grape Pricing Important Exporters (USD/kg)

* All pricing is wholesale * Varieties: Chile (Thompson Seedless), Peru (Grape Italia), South Africa (White Seedless), and India (Green Grape)

Yearly Change in Grape Pricing Important Exporters (W16 2024 to W16 2025) 

* All pricing is wholesale * Varieties: Chile (Thompson Seedless), Peru (Grape Italia), South Africa (White Seedless), and India (Green Grape) * Blank spaces on the graph signify data unavailability stemming from factors like missing data, supply unavailability, or seasonality

Chile

Chile's grape prices surged by 73.21% week-on-week (WoW) to USD 0.97/kg in W16, with an 8.99% month-on-month (MoM) increase. The surge is driven by reduced shipments as Chile’s harvest winds down, with remaining volumes mostly consisting of premium-grade grapes that are seeing stronger demand. Additionally, logistical improvements and more favorable shipping conditions have allowed for smoother exports, boosting price stability. However, YoY prices dropped by 6.73% due to the oversupply earlier in the season, particularly from Southern Hemisphere competitors like South Africa and Australia, which initially drove down prices despite the recent rebound.

Peru

​In Peru, grape prices fell slightly by 1.64% WoW and MoM to USD 0.60/kg in W16, with a 30.23% YoY decline due to ongoing repercussions from adverse weather events in the 2023/24 season. Cyclone Yaku and the coastal El Niño phenomenon led to heavy rains and unusually high temperatures, particularly in northern regions like Piura, causing significant reductions in grape yields and quality. These climatic challenges resulted in a 20% drop in export volumes, with some areas experiencing up to a 50% decrease in production. Additionally, the early onset of the harvest season, prompted by accelerated grape maturation due to high temperatures, led to smaller fruit sizes and a compressed export window. These factors collectively contributed to the significant YoY price decline.​

South Africa

Grape prices in South Africa dropped WoW to USD 1.58/kg in W16, reflecting a 22.55% MoM decline and a 30.70% YoY decrease. The price drop is due to the seasonal wind-down of the harvest, which has led to a surplus of lower-grade fruit entering the market, pushing prices downward. Export momentum has slowed, especially to the US, where uncertainty over the final import tariff rate–whether 10% or 31%–continues to hinder forward contracting and prompt logistical hesitations. Simultaneously, competition from other Southern Hemisphere suppliers like Chile and Peru, and slightly weaker European demand post-Easter, has intensified market pressure. These factors have collectively driven a steep correction from earlier price highs.

India

In W16, India's grape prices dropped by 2.99% WoW to USD 0.65/kg, reflecting a 15.58% MoM decrease and a 9.72% YoY decrease. The price decline is due to waning seasonal demand as the grape harvest in Maharashtra nears completion, resulting in increased domestic availability. Additionally, a slowdown in exports, especially to Bangladesh, India’s top grape importer, has added downward pressure on prices, heightened by currency fluctuations and logistical uncertainties in regional trade. The growing presence of seasonal alternatives like mangoes has also shifted consumer demand, further softening market sentiment for grapes in both wholesale and retail segments.

3. Actionable Recommendations

Diversify Export Markets and Enhance Domestic Marketing Strategies

Grape exporters in Maharashtra should focus on diversifying their export markets to mitigate the impact of shifting US trade policies. Expanding into new markets in Southeast Asia and the Middle East, where demand for Indian grapes is increasing, could help maintain steady export volumes. Additionally, domestic marketers should emphasize quality differentiation and innovative packaging to appeal to local consumers, creating targeted promotions and leveraging the popularity of grapes alongside mangoes.

Address Weather-Related Challenges and Optimize Export Timing

Egyptian table grape growers should invest in better cold protection measures and explore alternative treatments to mitigate the impact of adverse weather. Additionally, producers should collaborate with exporters to adjust shipping schedules and prioritize mid-season availability, particularly for white varieties, to fill supply gaps and maximize market presence in the Far East and Africa. By diversifying export timing, growers can extend their sales window and maintain a steady market flow despite early-season shortages.

Sources: Tridge, Egyptian Farmers Organization, Grupo Ara Agrícola, Hindustantimes, Redagricola, Senasa, United News

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